100K U.S. COVID-19 Deaths by May?

Terry Kinder
1 min readMay 5, 2020

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COVID-19 Estimated U.S. Deaths May 5th to May 15th.

I have been using a 7.4% 10-day lagged Case Fatality Rate (CFR) to estimate U.S. COVID-19 Deaths. Recently, that CFR appears to be declining slightly, so I will also be showing an estimated number of daily U.S. COVID-19 Deaths based on 6.7% as well.

What this means is that we can take the number of new cases 10-days and multiply it be either 6.7% or 7.4% to estimate the number of new deaths today and into the future.

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